![]() Four years ago, special elections were one of the first signs of Democratic strength after Mr. It might seem odd to draw attention to the results of uncompetitive races, but special congressional election results often do a decent job of foreshadowing the outcome of the next midterm elections. The result was similar this time: Shontel Brown, the establishment-backed Democrat who narrowly defeated the progressive favorite Nina Turner in an August primary, won by 58 points. The previous Democratic representative, Marcia Fudge, who is now the secretary of housing and urban development, won by 60 points. Biden by a whopping 61 points last November. The majority-Black district, which snakes from Cleveland to Akron, favored Mr. Ohio’s 11th District is even less competitive. Trump won the district by 14 points while the incumbent Republican, Steve Stivers, won it by 27 points last November. Unlike the House battlegrounds, this is not a district where Democrats have a chance to prevail, even under favorable circumstances: Mr. It stretches from the suburbs around Columbus to the conservative working-class countryside of south-central Ohio. Of the two districts, Ohio’s 15th is more competitive - and the most representative of next year’s battlegrounds. The margin is nothing for Democrats to brag about, but it’s simply not the same as what they experienced in Virginia and New Jersey, where the Republican candidates ran 12 and 13 points ahead of Mr. Yet in both races, the Democratic House candidates ran only three percentage points behind Biden’s showing against former President Donald Trump in last year’s election. ![]() Ohio’s 11th District is overwhelmingly Democratic, and the 15th is firmly Republican. ![]() The two House races didn’t receive much attention for a simple reason: Neither party had any reason to contest them. While it would be a mistake to read too much into these two low-profile affairs, it would also be a mistake to ignore them.
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